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Red116
631740.1
179239.3
870135.6
Blue198
463566.7
460765.2
657441.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10616150150200116198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+84
Endgame+84
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave3
3Coral scored#9
16Coral points44
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +53
16Coral scored#26
58Coral points95
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
12Processor points24
8Net points12
20Algae points36
78Total teleop131
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#11
5L2#8
3L1 · trough#7
23Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
6Foul points4
116Total score198

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#15
40.10.2
35.836.0
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
blue by 26.5
66.72.7
61.964.6
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
Second
39.30.3
38.939.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
blue by 25.9
65.22.7
50.453.1
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
Third
8701
#13
35.60.2
32.232.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
blue by 6.0
41.62.7
38.040.7
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned