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Red94
109119.5
478642.9
741728.6
Blue70
616619.4
514823.9
122030.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995902040801201401609470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
67Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points2
94Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
42.90.4
39.339.7
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 12.4
1220
#25
30.40.8
19.920.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
Second
7417
#28
28.60.2
26.426.7
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End0.5
red by 4.6
5148
#35
23.90.5
22.422.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
1091
#26
19.50.2
18.718.9
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Level
6166
#19
19.40.5
13.213.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned