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Red106
694733.1
631832.7
207727.2
Blue75
93034.5
369221.8
220234.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310320406012014016018010675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +46
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
12Processor points0
12Net points16
24Algae points16
90Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points16
106Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
#21
33.11.5
26.227.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
blue by 1.4
930
#22
34.53.7
34.731.0
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Second
6318
#23
32.71.5
26.027.4
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
blue by 1.3
2202
#14
34.03.7
28.825.1
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
Third
2077
#17
27.22.3
26.829.1
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
red by 5.4
3692
#27
21.82.4
25.122.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed