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Red87
631740.1
1055318.3
616619.4
Blue104
179239.3
638134.0
870019.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639920408012014016087104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
61Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
87Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#15
40.11.4
36.037.5
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 0.8
39.31.5
39.240.7
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Second
6166
#19
19.41.4
13.715.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 14.5
6381
#16
34.01.0
30.531.4
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
Third
18.32.2
15.918.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 1.5
8700
#36
19.81.0
19.620.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned