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Red109
469324.2
599324.3
657441.6
Blue185
171448.8
253070.8
460765.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8417750100150200250109185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+74
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave3
2Coral scored#8
12Coral points41
12Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points85
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
12Processor points24
16Net points16
28Algae points40
83Total teleop125
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#11
5L2#8
1L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points0
109Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.5
40.741.3
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
blue by 29.2
70.81.7
60.962.6
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
Second
5993
#39
24.30.9
21.922.8
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
blue by 40.9
65.21.1
53.154.2
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
Third
4693
#32
24.20.5
24.324.9
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
blue by 24.7
1714
#10
48.81.1
40.741.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned