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Red52
478642.9
514823.9
664321.9
Blue104
870135.6
206224.1
622349.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899760708011012013014052104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points4
10Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +53
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#7
0Processor points6
8Net points28
8Algae points34
32Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
4Foul points0
52Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#11
42.93.6
39.736.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
blue by 6.6
49.41.6
37.038.6
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
Second
5148
#35
23.92.3
22.920.6
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
blue by 11.6
8701
#13
35.61.0
32.433.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
Third
6643
#31
21.93.6
20.416.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
blue by 2.2
2062
#34
24.11.0
19.420.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed