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Red96
642140.8
790022.9
602425.7
Blue127
318433.3
463566.7
335438.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761375010015020096127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
6Processor points12
20Net points12
26Algae points24
68Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points4
96Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6421
#24
40.81.0
37.338.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
blue by 25.8
66.70.2
64.664.4
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
Second
6024
#38
25.71.0
22.023.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.3
blue by 12.3
3354
#20
38.00.2
30.730.5
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
Third
7900
#30
22.91.6
21.423.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 10.4
3184
#18
33.30.2
30.330.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned