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Red114
463566.7
478642.9
469324.2
Blue77
93034.5
1055318.3
870019.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1477005010020011477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+49Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +28
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
66Total teleop38
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
114Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.70.8
64.463.7
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 32.2
930
#22
34.50.5
31.031.6
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
Second
4786
#11
42.91.1
36.135.0
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 23.1
8700
#36
19.80.4
20.520.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
4693
#32
24.20.8
24.924.1
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 5.9
18.30.5
18.218.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned