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Red70
599324.3
179239.3
790022.9
Blue111
642140.8
173262.5
109119.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86129406010012014016018070111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+43
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
10Coral scored#15
36Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
46Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points0
70Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.9
40.738.8
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
blue by 23.2
62.50.6
58.357.7
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
Second
5993
#39
24.31.9
22.820.9
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
blue by 16.6
6421
#24
40.80.6
39.238.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
Third
7900
#30
22.91.8
21.719.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
red by 3.4
1091
#26
19.50.6
18.918.4
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed