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Red111
1026415.5
870019.8
253070.8
Blue139
369221.8
694733.1
642140.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11094406080120140160111139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
69Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#8
3L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
111Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.5
64.965.4
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
red by 30.0
6421
#24
40.83.0
38.641.6
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
Second
8700
#36
19.80.4
19.720.1
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 13.3
6947
#21
33.13.0
29.732.7
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Third
15.50.5
14.515.1
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
blue by 6.3
3692
#27
21.83.0
20.323.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned