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Qual 672025 Phantom Lakes Regional
Red122
460765.2
599324.3
1055318.3
Blue140
790022.9
335438.0
622349.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10810350150200122140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
19Coral scored#18
69Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
93Total teleop94
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#8
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points2
122Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#2
65.21.4
59.9→61.2
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 15.8
6223
#7
49.43.4
45.2→48.6
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
Second
5993
#39
24.31.7
21.3→23.0
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
blue by 13.7
3354
#20
38.02.8
31.2→33.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
Third
10553
#37
18.31.7
17.1→18.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 4.5
7900
#30
22.93.4
19.9→23.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned