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Red106
109119.5
631740.1
664321.9
Blue103
207727.2
130638.2
318433.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710850150106103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+15Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
71Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points18
106Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#15
40.11.3
38.239.5
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
red by 1.9
1306
#29
38.21.0
37.936.9
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Second
6643
#31
21.91.6
19.821.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
blue by 11.4
3184
#18
33.31.0
32.331.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
Third
1091
#26
19.51.3
19.520.8
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
blue by 7.8
2077
#17
27.21.2
30.128.9
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed