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Red135
463566.7
616619.4
229038.7
Blue124
206224.1
593447.3
478642.9
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122107406080140160180200135124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points33
40Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
67Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#5
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
14Foul points2
135Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.70.5
62.562.9
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 19.3
47.31.2
44.245.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Second
2290
#12
38.70.5
34.535.0
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
blue by 4.2
4786
#11
42.91.5
38.940.3
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Third
6166
#19
19.40.5
17.117.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 4.6
2062
#34
24.11.2
21.022.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned