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Red113
870135.6
631832.7
657441.6
Blue113
622349.4
469324.2
694733.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11211880100140160180113113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
19Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
12Processor points12
4Net points24
16Algae points36
74Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#5
3L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
4Foul points0
113Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.6
Auto7.3
Teleop26.4
End7.8
blue by 7.8
49.4
Auto8.7
Teleop32.3
End8.4
Second
8701
#13
35.6
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
red by 2.5
6947
#21
33.1
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
Third
6318
#23
32.7
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
red by 8.5
4693
#32
24.2
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned