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Red73
1055318.3
130638.2
790022.9
Blue99
599324.3
514823.9
220234.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8787506070801001101207399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
53Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points4
73Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#29
38.20.4
36.936.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
red by 4.2
2202
#14
34.01.3
32.033.3
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
Second
7900
#30
22.90.4
23.322.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End4.4
blue by 1.4
5993
#39
24.31.3
23.024.3
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
Third
18.30.4
18.818.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
blue by 5.6
5148
#35
23.91.1
22.823.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed