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Red172
229038.7
460765.2
478642.9
Blue81
369221.8
207727.2
631740.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152925020025017281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+91Teleop
+91Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
25Coral scored#11
91Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
121Total teleop58
Reef
13L4#3
9L3#4
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points0
172Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.6
61.262.9
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 25.1
6317
#15
40.11.5
39.538.0
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
4786
#11
42.91.8
40.342.1
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
red by 15.6
2077
#17
27.21.6
28.927.2
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End3.0
Third
2290
#12
38.71.6
35.036.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
red by 16.9
3692
#27
21.81.5
23.321.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned