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Red154
171448.8
93034.5
173262.5
Blue108
664321.9
463566.7
1026415.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489950200154108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+44Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
89Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#3
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
2Foul points0
154Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.8
59.460.2
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
blue by 4.1
66.70.4
62.963.3
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
Second
1714
#10
48.80.8
45.145.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
red by 27.0
6643
#31
21.90.4
21.421.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Third
930
#22
34.50.9
32.933.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 19.0
15.50.4
15.115.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned