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Red96
179239.3
109119.5
940148.8
Blue93
638134.0
870135.6
642140.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115113801001201401609693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
57Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
96Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.4
49.848.4
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
red by 7.9
6421
#24
40.81.1
41.640.5
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
Second
39.31.5
40.138.6
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
red by 3.8
8701
#13
35.61.1
35.033.8
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
Third
1091
#26
19.51.4
20.819.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
blue by 14.5
6381
#16
34.01.1
33.432.2
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed