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Red195
463566.7
122030.4
253070.8
Blue126
638134.0
870135.6
130638.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1759650150200250195126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+67Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave0
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points23
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#8
12Processor points6
32Net points32
44Algae points38
115Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#5
12L3#5
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
195Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.8
67.568.3
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
red by 32.6
1306
#29
38.20.5
36.537.0
Auto7.9
Teleop28.6
End1.7
Second
66.70.8
63.364.2
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 31.1
8701
#13
35.60.5
33.834.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.5
End5.6
Third
1220
#25
30.40.8
27.127.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
blue by 3.5
6381
#16
34.00.5
32.232.8
Auto5.9
Teleop22.1
End6.0