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Red206
460765.2
173262.5
318433.3
Blue169
631740.1
335438.0
229038.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911150100150200250206169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+45Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points81
5Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
30Processor points12
28Net points20
58Algae points32
129Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#13
9L3#9
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#38
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points8
206Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.2
62.964.0
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 25.1
6317
#15
40.11.1
38.039.2
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
62.51.2
60.261.3
Auto16.3
Teleop37.0
End9.2
red by 23.8
2290
#12
38.71.1
36.637.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
Third
3184
#18
33.31.2
31.032.1
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
blue by 4.7
3354
#20
38.01.1
35.937.0
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3