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Red151
642140.8
940148.8
694733.1
Blue143
179239.3
93034.5
478642.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911880100140160180200151143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave9
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +36
25Coral scored#14
91Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
6Processor points18
24Net points16
30Algae points34
121Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#8
5L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
151Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.7
48.449.1
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
red by 5.9
4786
#11
42.90.6
42.142.8
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
6421
#24
40.80.7
40.541.1
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
red by 1.5
39.30.6
38.639.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Third
6947
#21
33.10.7
32.733.3
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
blue by 1.4
930
#22
34.50.6
33.734.4
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7