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Red130
631740.1
335438.0
229038.7
Blue122
179239.3
93034.5
478642.9
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011890100110130140150160130122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+12Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#17
64Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
92Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#7
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
130Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6317
#15
40.10.4
39.239.5
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
blue by 2.7
4786
#11
42.90.1
42.842.9
Auto14.3
Teleop24.7
End3.9
Second
2290
#12
38.70.4
37.738.1
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
blue by 0.6
39.30.1
39.239.3
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Third
3354
#20
38.00.4
37.037.4
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
red by 3.5
930
#22
34.50.1
34.434.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7