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Red193
463566.7
122030.4
253070.8
Blue164
171448.8
593447.3
631832.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176120100150200250193164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
33Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#17
74Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
122Total teleop104
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#7
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points0
193Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.80.7
68.369.0
Auto17.1
Teleop44.4
End9.4
red by 22.0
1714
#10
48.80.9
46.447.3
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
66.70.7
64.264.8
Auto17.6
Teleop39.5
End9.6
red by 19.3
47.30.9
44.845.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Third
1220
#25
30.40.7
27.928.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
blue by 2.3
6318
#23
32.70.9
30.231.2
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2