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Red149
171448.8
593447.3
631832.7
Blue143
631740.1
335438.0
229038.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321186080100140160180200220149143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points27
25Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
18Coral scored#15
66Coral points55
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
88Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
149Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1714
#10
48.80.3
47.347.6
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
red by 8.7
6317
#15
40.10.6
39.540.1
Auto4.8
Teleop28.8
End6.5
Second
47.30.3
45.846.1
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
red by 8.6
2290
#12
38.70.6
38.138.7
Auto10.9
Teleop27.5
End0.3
Third
6318
#23
32.70.3
31.231.5
Auto4.8
Teleop25.7
End2.2
blue by 5.3
3354
#20
38.00.6
37.438.0
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3