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Red137
53732.4
130653.3
125948.1
Blue140
1026417.8
702151.3
874451.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811650100200250137140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points72
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
101Total teleop96
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#11
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
137Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#11
53.30.3
53.653.3
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End4.1
red by 1.7
8744
#20
51.61.9
47.449.3
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
Second
1259
#19
48.10.3
50.750.4
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
blue by 3.3
51.31.9
47.749.6
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
Third
537
#28
32.40.3
37.437.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.8
End3.7
red by 14.6
17.81.9
16.218.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsEarned