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Red161
1055318.7
453124.3
173279.2
Blue151
171446.1
219445.5
791550.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142155100120180200220161151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+10
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
27Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +21
25Coral scored#19
90Coral points69
2Processor algae#5
2Net algae#8
12Processor points30
8Net points32
20Algae points62
110Total teleop131
Reef
12L4#8
9L3#7
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#33
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
161Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.21.7
80.682.3
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
red by 28.6
7915
#18
50.50.0
46.146.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
Second
4531
#14
24.31.7
25.427.2
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5
blue by 21.8
46.10.0
49.449.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.6
End4.6
Third
18.71.7
17.719.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 26.9
2194
#21
45.50.0
44.544.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned73%Barge oddsMissed