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Red139
282655.7
590337.1
220238.3
Blue140
622353.7
642129.7
710337.5
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14813350100200250139140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#20
61Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
89Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points6
139Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#16
55.70.4
55.354.9
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
red by 2.0
53.70.3
58.258.5
Auto9.0
Teleop35.1
End9.6
Second
2202
#26
38.30.4
44.143.7
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End3.6
red by 0.8
7103
#12
37.50.3
37.237.6
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
Third
37.10.4
37.437.0
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
red by 7.3
6421
#27
29.70.3
33.734.0
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned