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Red128
874451.6
1028726.9
283032.7
Blue124
122032.0
870133.3
638136.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125111406080100140160180200128124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points19
26Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
88Total teleop79
Reef
10L4#10
8L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
128Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#20
51.60.8
46.647.4
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
red by 14.9
6381
#31
36.71.4
32.934.4
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End6.1
Second
2830
#15
32.70.8
35.936.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End4.6
blue by 0.6
8701
#17
33.31.4
35.837.3
Auto6.4
Teleop22.8
End4.1
Third
26.90.9
29.830.8
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End0.9
blue by 5.1
1220
#25
32.01.4
31.232.6
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned