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Red153
478662.4
1026417.8
130653.3
Blue67
250651.1
802414.9
582637.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611105010020015367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+98Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +73
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points31
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
30Processor points6
20Net points4
50Algae points10
114Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#4
10L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
153Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.6
62.063.6
Auto17.3
Teleop43.4
End1.7
red by 11.2
2506
#10
51.12.6
49.146.4
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Second
1306
#11
53.31.6
52.053.6
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End4.1
red by 16.3
5826
#24
37.02.6
34.531.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Third
17.81.6
14.616.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End1.2
red by 2.9
8024
#30
14.92.6
23.120.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned