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Red170
171446.1
125948.1
657448.3
Blue168
93054.0
179246.3
319768.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153189100200250300170168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points36
30Total auto36
Teleoperatedlevel
25Coral scored#24
90Coral points86
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
114Total teleop114
Reef
13L4#15
5L3#7
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
170Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.6
51.051.6
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End8.2
blue by 20.1
68.41.3
69.568.2
Auto15.3
Teleop46.8
End6.3
Second
1259
#19
48.10.6
50.150.7
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
blue by 6.0
930
#13
54.01.3
56.555.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Third
46.10.6
48.849.4
Auto7.8
Teleop33.6
End4.6
blue by 0.3
46.31.3
48.246.9
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned