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Red131
870133.3
874451.6
642129.7
Blue157
453124.3
702151.3
622353.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120134050100150200250131157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+12
Endgame+34
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +2
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
92Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#12
4L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
12Foul points4
131Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#20
51.60.2
46.346.6
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
blue by 2.1
53.71.8
56.458.2
Auto9.0
Teleop35.1
End9.6
Second
8701
#17
33.30.2
35.635.8
Auto6.4
Teleop22.8
End4.1
blue by 18.0
51.31.8
45.947.7
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
Third
6421
#27
29.70.2
33.533.7
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
red by 5.5
4531
#14
24.31.8
23.625.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned