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Red108
638136.7
250651.1
1028726.9
Blue154
802414.9
173279.2
282655.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122193050100150250300108154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave3
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points41
19Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
85Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#8
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
108Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
#10
51.11.0
50.149.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
blue by 28.0
79.21.1
81.780.6
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
Second
6381
#31
36.71.0
34.032.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End6.1
blue by 19.1
2826
#16
55.71.1
56.455.3
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
Third
26.91.3
31.129.8
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End0.9
red by 12.0
8024
#30
14.91.1
24.223.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned