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Red151
590337.1
478662.4
791550.5
Blue150
125948.1
179246.3
122032.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164136050100200250300350400151150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#6
36Coral points30
36Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
87Total teleop89
Reef
12L4#11
6L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
12Foul points12
151Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.40.6
62.662.0
Auto17.3
Teleop43.4
End1.7
red by 14.3
1259
#19
48.10.7
49.450.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
Second
7915
#18
50.50.7
46.746.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
red by 4.2
46.30.7
47.448.2
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
Third
37.10.6
38.037.4
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
red by 5.0
1220
#25
32.00.7
30.431.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned