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Red96
791550.5
642129.7
1055318.7
Blue123
283032.7
93054.0
250651.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715505020025096123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+29
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave3
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#14
45Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
71Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
96Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7915
#18
50.50.1
48.448.3
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
blue by 3.5
930
#13
54.00.9
53.953.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
6421
#27
29.70.1
29.529.4
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
blue by 21.4
2506
#10
51.10.9
48.847.9
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Third
18.70.1
19.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 14.0
2830
#15
32.70.9
34.133.1
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned