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Red144
710337.5
582637.0
874451.6
Blue180
250651.1
791550.5
179246.3
29%Model gave it71%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120157050100200250300144180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+10
Endgame+32
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points25
23Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +8
24Coral scored#23
87Coral points81
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#4
12Processor points30
20Net points16
32Algae points46
119Total teleop127
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#10
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points4
144Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#20
51.61.6
49.351.0
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
red by 0.5
2506
#10
51.12.4
46.448.8
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Second
7103
#12
37.51.6
36.738.4
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
blue by 13.1
7915
#18
50.52.4
46.148.4
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
Third
5826
#24
37.01.6
33.334.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
blue by 9.3
46.32.4
48.350.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned