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Red112
1026417.8
122032.0
282655.7
Blue168
642129.7
319768.4
173279.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100212050150250300112168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +28
18Coral scored#23
65Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
87Total teleop115
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points14
112Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#16
55.70.4
54.955.4
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
blue by 23.5
79.22.0
82.380.3
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
Second
1220
#25
32.00.4
32.633.0
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4
blue by 36.4
68.42.0
67.665.6
Auto15.3
Teleop46.8
End6.3
Third
17.80.4
18.118.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 11.9
6421
#27
29.72.0
34.032.0
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned