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Red157
173279.2
220238.3
53732.4
Blue163
478662.4
93054.0
453124.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183159050100250300350157163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+18
Fouls+6
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points83
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
89Total teleop119
Reef
12L4#12
8L3#7
3L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points0
157Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.21.7
80.378.7
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
red by 16.8
62.40.6
62.863.4
Auto17.3
Teleop43.4
End1.7
Second
2202
#26
38.31.7
42.941.2
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End3.6
blue by 15.7
930
#13
54.00.6
55.255.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Third
537
#28
32.41.7
35.333.7
Auto5.9
Teleop22.8
End3.7
red by 8.1
4531
#14
24.30.6
25.526.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned