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Red71
1055318.7
122032.0
802414.9
Blue120
702151.3
282655.7
657448.3
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62181010015020025030071120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+35
Endgame+55
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
44Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points0
71Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1220
#25
32.00.6
33.032.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4
blue by 23.7
2826
#16
55.72.5
55.452.9
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
Second
18.70.6
19.418.8
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 32.7
51.32.5
48.846.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
Third
8024
#30
14.90.6
18.718.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 33.4
48.32.5
50.748.2
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned