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Red121
219445.5
638136.7
582637.0
Blue124
125948.1
870133.3
590337.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221296080100140160180121124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points70
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
79Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#9
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
121Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#21
45.50.5
44.945.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5
blue by 2.5
1259
#19
48.10.0
47.747.7
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
Second
5826
#24
37.00.5
34.935.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Level
37.10.0
37.537.5
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
Third
6381
#31
36.70.5
33.634.1
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End6.1
red by 3.4
8701
#17
33.30.0
36.636.6
Auto6.4
Teleop22.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned