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Red106
710337.5
53732.4
1028726.9
Blue81
642129.7
171446.1
453124.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141265010015020010681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points35
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
70Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
18Foul points0
106Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#12
37.51.7
38.436.7
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
blue by 8.6
46.12.5
50.347.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.6
End4.6
Second
537
#28
32.41.7
33.732.0
Auto5.9
Teleop22.8
End3.7
red by 2.7
6421
#27
29.72.5
32.029.5
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
Third
26.91.7
29.627.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End0.9
red by 2.7
4531
#14
24.32.5
26.023.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned