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Red229
173279.2
250651.1
702151.3
Blue112
590337.1
657448.3
283032.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20011850100150250300229112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+95Teleop
+115Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave9
11Coral scored#1
54Coral points3
54Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +53
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
131Total teleop78
Reef
13L4#6
8L3#6
7L2#3
8L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
8Foul points6
229Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.22.6
78.781.3
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
red by 30.8
48.31.4
48.246.8
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End8.2
Second
51.32.6
46.348.9
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
red by 14.2
37.11.4
37.536.1
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
Third
2506
#10
51.12.6
47.950.5
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 18.5
2830
#15
32.71.4
33.131.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned