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Red157
702151.3
590337.1
93054.0
Blue86
1028726.9
1026417.8
220238.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1628905020025015786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+49Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points40
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
6Processor points18
24Net points12
30Algae points30
101Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#19
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
157Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
54.00.4
53.053.4
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
red by 15.7
2202
#26
38.31.0
39.338.3
Auto7.0
Teleop27.6
End3.6
Second
51.30.4
48.949.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
red by 24.4
26.91.0
27.926.9
Auto5.4
Teleop20.7
End0.9
Third
37.10.4
36.136.5
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
red by 19.3
17.81.0
18.817.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed