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Red109
122032.0
453124.3
710337.5
Blue104
582637.0
1055318.7
125948.1
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100111050150200250300350109104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+7Teleop
+1Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
81Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#4
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points2
109Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7103
#12
37.50.2
36.736.9
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
blue by 10.6
1259
#19
48.10.4
47.747.4
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
Second
1220
#25
32.00.2
34.034.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4
blue by 5.0
5826
#24
37.00.4
35.435.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
Third
4531
#14
24.30.2
23.523.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5
red by 5.6
18.70.4
19.018.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed