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Red80
130653.3
802414.9
642129.7
Blue119
179246.3
173279.2
870133.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9619205015025030080119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+37
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
53Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
80Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#11
53.31.2
53.051.8
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End4.1
blue by 25.8
79.23.7
81.377.7
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
Second
6421
#27
29.71.2
29.428.2
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9
blue by 16.6
46.33.7
49.545.9
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
Third
8024
#30
14.91.2
16.214.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End2.8
blue by 18.3
8701
#17
33.33.7
36.933.3
Auto6.4
Teleop22.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned