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Red202
478662.4
173279.2
638136.7
Blue156
125948.1
250651.1
93054.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19315850100250300202156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points33
51Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#17
81Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#8
18Processor points12
28Net points32
46Algae points44
127Total teleop104
Reef
16L4#10
6L3#7
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
43Game pieces#34
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
202Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.20.6
77.778.3
Auto16.9
Teleop50.8
End11.5
red by 25.2
930
#13
54.00.1
53.453.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
62.40.6
60.961.5
Auto17.3
Teleop43.4
End1.7
red by 11.2
2506
#10
51.10.1
50.550.6
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Third
6381
#31
36.70.6
35.135.8
Auto6.3
Teleop24.3
End6.1
blue by 11.4
1259
#19
48.10.1
47.447.5
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4