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Red175
125948.1
250651.1
93054.0
Blue192
219445.5
319768.4
791550.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161179100150200250175192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#10
26Coral points50
29Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#23
70Coral points84
2Processor algae#4
12Net algae#5
12Processor points24
48Net points20
60Algae points44
130Total teleop128
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#42
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
175Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
54.00.5
53.554.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
blue by 14.4
68.40.6
68.769.3
Auto15.3
Teleop46.8
End6.3
Second
2506
#10
51.10.5
50.651.1
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 0.6
7915
#18
50.50.6
50.851.4
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
Third
1259
#19
48.10.5
47.548.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
red by 2.5
2194
#21
45.50.6
45.846.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5