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Red147
874451.6
283032.7
179246.3
Blue135
791550.5
319768.4
219445.5
14%Model gave it86%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13518650100150200250300147135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+4
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
26Coral points33
29Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#20
78Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
92Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#13
10L3#5
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points6
147Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#20
51.60.1
52.352.3
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
blue by 16.8
68.40.8
69.368.4
Auto15.3
Teleop46.8
End6.3
Second
46.30.1
47.047.0
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
blue by 4.2
7915
#18
50.50.8
51.450.5
Auto7.7
Teleop35.2
End7.6
Third
2830
#15
32.70.1
33.333.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End4.6
blue by 12.9
2194
#21
45.50.8
46.445.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5