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Red178
702151.3
582637.0
282655.7
Blue98
590337.1
453124.3
710337.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510005020025017898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+60Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#12
60Coral points44
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
18Processor points12
32Net points12
50Algae points24
110Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
9L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
178Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#16
55.70.9
53.754.6
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
red by 18.2
7103
#12
37.50.0
36.936.9
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
Second
51.30.9
49.350.2
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
red by 14.2
37.10.0
36.536.5
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End6.2
Third
5826
#24
37.00.9
35.135.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
red by 12.8
4531
#14
24.30.0
23.723.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End4.5