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Red162
874451.6
283032.7
179246.3
Blue156
642129.7
657448.3
130653.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138137100110120130150160170162156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
16Coral scored#22
57Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
9Net algae#3
18Processor points12
36Net points12
54Algae points24
111Total teleop102
Reef
5L4#11
8L3#6
6L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
162Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8744
#20
51.60.7
51.151.9
Auto10.0
Teleop38.9
End2.8
blue by 1.7
1306
#11
53.30.6
51.852.4
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End4.1
Second
46.30.7
45.946.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End6.8
blue by 2.0
48.30.6
46.847.4
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End8.2
Third
2830
#15
32.70.7
32.232.9
Auto5.7
Teleop22.4
End4.6
red by 2.9
6421
#27
29.70.6
28.228.8
Auto4.7
Teleop20.2
End4.9