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Red133
125948.1
250651.1
93054.0
Blue86
171446.1
122032.0
622353.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16513805010020025030013386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+47Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +47
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
12Processor points6
32Net points8
44Algae points14
108Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
133Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
54.00.4
53.553.1
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
red by 0.3
53.71.1
54.853.7
Auto9.0
Teleop35.1
End9.6
Second
2506
#10
51.10.4
50.650.2
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
red by 5.1
46.11.1
47.146.1
Auto7.8
Teleop33.6
End4.6
Third
1259
#19
48.10.4
47.547.1
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4
red by 16.0
1220
#25
32.01.1
33.132.0
Auto7.3
Teleop20.4
End4.4